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November 13, 2009


Cop Car

Boie--I hear you in the frustration. Wish we could figure out how to get some of these things right!!!

But...c'mon, Bogie...recognize the limitations one faces in using data - any kind of data. To my knowledge, no one has ever really been able to predict most human behaviors; and, I'm thinking, that human behaviors drive how the flu spreads and how it mutates. There are lots of ways of guestimating out there, but not one of them is foolproof. Only hindsight is 20/20...and...sometimes it isn't, either.

Now...the weather...that's a whole 'nuther thing. If human behavior is unpredictable, surely the weather is.

Then...there is quantum physics. The most predictable of all our sciences is unpredictable.


I understand the limitations of using data. But when you severely curtail the data that you can use (if they used sampling, that would be one thing - they don't though), and change the methods in which you decide to report the estimates, there seems to be shananigans going on. Kind of how they have "estimated" how many jobs were saved or created - how's that working out for representative numbers?

Cop Car

My younger brother used to say that he could torture the data to get anything he wanted. ; )

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